The global security situation in 2024 is not optimistic, with uncertainties continuing to deepen and spread. Whether it will escalate from a "broken window" to a "broken situation" or, conversely, whether it will "stabilize and improve" depends on whether the major powers of the world can act like "true majors," unite, and overcome difficulties together.
From a geopolitical perspective, the geopolitical confrontation may become more intense and complex in the coming period, with four specific judgments:
First, the United States and Britain are forming a convoy alliance to jointly combat the Houthis armed forces.
Second, the Ukraine crisis has entered a stalemate, with both warring parties engaged in a seesaw battle, and U.S. and European aid to Ukraine has shown signs of fatigue.
Third, in China's broader neighborhood, especially in the eastern direction, due to the long-term and deep involvement of external forces, the uncertainties surrounding the situations in the Korean Peninsula, the Taiwan Strait, and the South China Sea will further increase in the future.
Fourth, conflicts between some countries in other continental plates (such as Africa and Latin America) frequently erupt, which will inevitably affect regional security and economic and social development and pose greater challenges to China's overseas interest protection efforts.
Facing the evolving and increasingly complex global security dilemma in the midst of unprecedented changes in a century, what should we do? President Xi Jinping has provided the answer with foresight and sagacity: to promote the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind.
Regardless of how the international situation changes, China will always work with other countries to promote the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind and create a peaceful, secure, prosperous, and progressive future together.
